SUPERFLEX · .5 PPR · PLAYER PROFILE

Joe Burrow

TeamCIN

Bye6

Pos RankQB7

Dead Zone

Wolves Rank40QB7

Consensus ECR4Pick

Delta-36

FADE

The Take

Consensus is 36 picks high on Burrow. The wolves let it go.

The case

The market drafts Burrow at pick 4. The wolves rank him 40. He sits in the dead zone. Priced like the elite, projects like the middle, and the middle runs eighteen deep. The points do not back the price. The games history is the flag: real time missed in multiple recent seasons. That risk is priced into the wolves rank, and it caps the badge. Let someone else pay the toll. The board is deep enough behind him.

Where to draft him

Wolves slot

Round 4 · pick 4

Consensus slot

Round 1 · pick 4

Dead-zone quarterback. Interchangeable with the next few names off the board, so the wolves pass at the early 1st ADP and stream the position late.

Market behavior

Name Tax

Famous name, market premium. The room drafts him above his value.

Dead Zone

Structural mid-tier quarterback. Interchangeable with the next arms off the board; the wolves stream the position.

Situation flags

Inj Prone