SUPERFLEX · .5 PPR · PLAYER PROFILE

Joe Burrow

TeamCIN

Bye6

Pos RankQB9

Dead Zone

Wolves Rank48QB9

Consensus ECR4Pick

Delta-44

FADE

The Take

Consensus is 44 picks high on Joe Burrow. He is gone before the wolves would draft him. This is a pass, not a wait.

The case

The market drafts Burrow at pick 4. The wolves rank him 48. He is one of the live darts, and a dart is only a dart at dart prices. At his current cost the ceiling is already paid for. The games history is the flag: real time missed in multiple recent seasons. That risk is priced into the wolves rank, and it caps the badge. Let someone else pay the toll. The board is deep enough behind him.

Where to draft him

Wolves slot

Round 4 · pick 12

Consensus slot

Round 1 · pick 4

Dead-zone quarterback. Interchangeable with the next few names off the board, so the wolves pass at the early 1st ADP and stream the position late.

Market behavior

Name Tax

Famous name, market premium. The room drafts him above his value.

Dead Zone

Structural mid-tier quarterback. Interchangeable with the next arms off the board; the wolves stream the position.

Situation flags

Inj Prone