Harold Fannin Jr.

The case

The market lets Fannin fall to pick 96 against a wolves rank of 59. The gap is real. So is the reason for it. He lives in the flat: fourteen tight ends projecting within a rounding error of each other. Big consensus gaps here are artifacts of when the market drafts the position, not hidden value. Inside a flat tier the wolves side with the ascending profile over the locked veteran. Same projection, live ceiling. His availability is not settled. The wolves do not stamp a value on an uncertain situation, whatever the gap says. The flat does not pay a premium for a familiar name falling late. Draft the tier, not the discount.