George Kittle

The case

The market lets Kittle fall to pick 114 against a wolves rank of 77. The gap is real. So is the reason for it. He lives in the flat: fourteen tight ends projecting within a rounding error of each other. Big consensus gaps here are artifacts of when the market drafts the position, not hidden value. He is 32. The wolves price the cliff before it shows up in a box score, not after. The games history is the flag: real time missed in multiple recent seasons. That risk is priced into the wolves rank, and it caps the badge. The flat does not pay a premium for a familiar name falling late. Draft the tier, not the discount.